(Updated: 2020-03-30 17:06:51 EST)
So, I have been watching the epidemic in China and Korea since the beginning, but it is still not easy to settle into this reality here in the US.
First of all, everyone, STAY HEALTHY and see what YOU can do!
Second, there are many excellent news articles and information sources, but I’m sharing some more questions (see left panel) and answers for those who are curious about a specific situation in Maryland, US - especially including local data. Maryland is my beautiful adopted home state of over 20 years. The State is doing its best with strong leadership, but this virus arrived here when the country was not ready and is spreading fast unfortunately…
All COVID-19 data are from Coronavirus in the U.S.: Latest Map and Case Count, which currently publishes US county-level data. See footnote for further information about data sources. More questions and answers will be added, as more local data become available.
(Sorry, but this is not mobile device friendly, and is best viewed on your regular monitor.)
The first confirmed COVID-19 case was reported in Montgomery county on 2020-03-05.
As of 2020-03-29, 1244 confirmed cases have been reported in 22 counties (out of total 24 counties in the state). This means there are 21 people with confirmed COVID-19 per 100,000 population in the state. No case has been reported in two counties, Allegany and Dorchester. Below figure shows number of confirmed cases by county.
Hover over each figure to see values and more options.
Montgomery county currently has the largest number of confirmed cases. But, it is also the largest county in terms of population. When we look at infection rates (i.e., number of confirmed cases per 100,000 population), Carroll county has the highest rate, because of an outbreak at a nursing home (See Question 3).
Hover over each figure to see values and more options.
Since testing capacity has been low, we cannot confidently answer this question. Nevertheless, we can see the number of NEW confirmed cases each day. The first figure is for the entire state. We want to see the number of new infections to be stable more or less, without sudden and large increases. On 2020-03-29, 178 new cases were confirmed, compared to 276 on the previous date. This decrease (or sudden increase on the previous day) was due to new cases in Carroll county on March 28 - see below. Still, even without the Carroll county’s outbreak, the number of new cases in the last few days is substantially more than before.
Hover over each figure to see values and more options.
Now, among 7 counties with 50 or more confirmed cases, below shows the trends of daily number of NEW confirmed cases for each of the county. The number of new cases surged in Carroll county, because of an outbreak at a nursing home.
Hover over each figure to see values and more options.
Data sources:
1. All data on number of cases for the state and counties come from New York Times’ Coronavirus in the U.S.: Latest Map and Case Count. Accessed on March 30, 2020. Numbers for the entire state of Maryland may be different from those in Coronavirus COVID-19 Global Cases by Center for Systems Science and Engineering at JHU, which currently does not publish county-level data. For the latest state-level data, check out Maryland COVID-19 Case Map Dashboard by Maryland Department of Health.
2. All data on population come from US Census Bureau’s County Population Totals: 2010-2019. Accessed on March 29, 2020.
See GitHub for data, code, and more information. For typos, errors, and questions, contact me at www.isquared.global
Making Data Delicious, One Byte at a Time, in good times and bad times.